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SAO PAULO (AP) ― Brazil's president predicted Thursday that Latin America's largest economy would emerge from a deep recession next year to "defeat the crisis,cheap pandora bracelets," even as unemployment jumped yet again. Brazil's economy has contracted for six straight quarters, and the IBGE statistics bureau reported Thursday that unemployment in the three months through November rose to 11.9 percent ― nearly 3 percentage points higher than it was during the same period last year. After the figures were announced,cheap pandora jewelry, President Michel Temer told reporters that he was very concerned with high unemployment but said his government's reforms would start to turn the tide in the second half of next year. Congress has already passed a spending cap to address a serious deficit, and a reform to the social security system is making its way through the legislature. The government has also proposed a labor reform. Temer said 2017 "will be the year that we defeat the crisis. ... We think, according to economic projections,cheap pandora charms for sale, that from the second semester of the coming year, it is very likely that unemployment will fall as a function of the measures we are taking." Economists expect Brazil's economy to return to growth next year, but perhaps only by a small margin. Unemployment, however,cheap pandora bracelets, generally lags behind in economic rebounds, and Brazil's rate could rise further before it turns a corner. Thursday's data showed 12.1 million people are out of work. The rate is the highest since 2012, when Brazil changed how it measures unemployment. Unemployment has repeatedly hit new highs since May of last year. Partially because the economic situation is so dire,cheap pandora bracelets for sale, the government's reforms so far have won broad support in Congress. But a slow drip of scandal has plagued Temer's administration,cheap pandora jewelry, which began when the previous president was impeached and removed from office this year. Temer is now facing increasing calls for his own impeachment, and he could be removed from office if a court finds him guilty of accepting illegal campaign contributions. He denies the charge.
 
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Three professors (two from Dartmouth, one from UCLA) have published a paper (PDF) showing why many pundits believe that the recount favors Al Franken. It mostly comes down to what are often called "undervotes" (although these three professors complicate the terminology and call them "residual ballots." Read the full paper if you need to know why.) If you are just tuning in, "undervotes" is a term that became familiar during the Florida recount of 2000. It refers to a ballot that, when read by the vote-counting machine, registers a valid vote in some races but not others. Did the voter intend to skip a race,amassdenver.com, or simply make a mark that the machine couldn't read? In the current case,cheap retro jordans, the relevant ballots were mostly those that registered a preference for president but none for senator. Apparently there were more than 30,000 such ballots that registered no preference in the Senate race. The vast majority of these will turn out to be exactly what the machines first thought they were — ballots cast by citizens who intentionally left the Senate portion blank because they didn't want to vote for any of the candidates. It's no secret, for example,cheap jordans online, that Barack Obama was more popular than Franken (or else we wouldn't be having this recount, now would we?) Some Obama voters simply didn't vote in the Senate race. An additional clue, according to the three professors, is that the concentration of such undervotes was high in precincts with a lot of African-American voters. But some of voters who cast those approximately 34,000 undervotes surely tried to vote for a Senate candidate (this is confirmed based on the first night of the recount) but made a mark on the ballot in the Senate race but the machine didn't read,cheap jordan shoes, presumably because they didn't fill in the oval thoroughly enough. In many of these cases, the visual examination of the ballot will determine the voters' intent and someone will gain a vote. If 10 percent of the undervotes turn out to show discernible voter intent, that would be plenty of votes to change the result, depending on the breakdown of the newly counted votes. The next step in the analysis is knowing where these undervotes were concentrated. The three professors analyzed those precincts and found that they were mostly areas of DFL strength in the last two elections. Therefore they concluded that the majority of the undervotes that turn out to be countable will be votes for Franken. They imply but do not state that this will be enough to change the outcome. And this is only an educated surmise. Bear in mind,cheap jordans, in addition to the undervotes, there are those absentee ballots that were rejected. We don't know yet whether the Canvassing Board will look at those ballots to see whether some of them should be counted (as the Franken campaign has asked) or whether they will be subject to court action that follows the recount.
 
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